This is why it's too soon to write-off the Thursday afternoon into Friday morning potential storm as out-to-sea:

- It's still 5 to 6 days away, so there is plenty of time for changes.

- The 1st image is from the brand-new 06Z Euro ensembles, and already there are more of them that are stronger and closer to the coast than the overnight run.

- The 2nd image shows the GFS ensemble members for 1 AM Friday.

- The 3rd image is from the Canadian model.