Tornado info, a potential storm with some northeast snow next Tuesday, and the Long Island forecast:
I'm still in Milwaukee, but I'll be home tonight. Yesterday and last night I posted all of the info on the 3 Long Island tornadoes from Saturday, and here is a link which includes links to all of the detailed reports, and a summary is shown in the 2nd image below: https://www.weather.gov/okx/AllNov13Tors
The models are showing storm potential for next Tuesday, so this will soon become the main focus. As of now, it's very early, so there is a huge amount of uncertainty in the details. The GFS has a big snowstorm, the Canadian has a big storm with more rain than snow, the Euro doesn't have much of a storm at all, but many of the Euro ensemble members have a storm (3rd image), and some even show snow for Long Island (5th image).
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Partly sunny with a 30% chance of some morning showers and becoming windy in the afternoon with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the W at 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight: Mostly clear and breezy with lows in the low to mid 30's in Suffolk and mid 30's in Nassau. Wind out of the W at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Tomorrow: Sunny with highs around 50 degrees. Wind out of the W at 10 to 15 mph.
Tomorrow night: Mostly clear with lows in the low to mid 30's. Wind out of the W at 5 to 10 mph in the evening and then decreasing to less than 5 mph after midnight.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and milder with highs in the upper 50's. Wind out of the S at 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and mild with increasing clouds late in the day with highs in the mid 60's. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph. It will be rainy and windy overnight with a slight chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday: Early morning showers and then becoming mostly sunny with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Saturday: Sunny and chilly with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the north at 5 to 10 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 2nd image: Summary of the tornadoes, from the National Weather Service
- 3rd image: Projected storm locations and strengths for next Tuesday at 1 PM from the Euro ensemble members.
- 4th image: 10-day snow map from the National Weather Service model blend
- 5th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend