Tropical Storm Epsilon and the Caribbean wave:
Tropical Storm Epsilon has become better organized today, and as of the 2 PM advisory, maximum sustained winds are up to 60 mph. It still appears likely that it will pass well east of Bermuda as a hurricane on Friday morning.
There remains very little chance of tropical development in the western Caribbean through this weekend. The following is from the National Hurricane Center:
A trough of low pressure extends from the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula southeastward into the southwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the east of the trough axis. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development while the system drifts westward over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.