• My Personal Weatherman™

Tropics, snow in New England, and the Long Island forecast with next week being dry:

Invest 96L in the Caribbean now has an 80% chance of tropical development, according to the National Hurricane Center. It will probably become a tropical depression on Monday and Tropical Storm Eta shortly thereafter. The long-term track is uncertain, but the odds favor it continuing westward into Central America.

Rain is changing to snow in New England. Snow maps are posted below, and it will all be ending later this afternoon.

Overall, next week will be dry with a warm-up by the end of the week, but some cold days and nights before then. See the details in the Long Island forecast:

See below for tides/ coastal flooding info.

Today (Friday): Rainy and windy this morning, tapering off to showers and ending around mid-afternoon. Wind gusts up to 30 mph from the NNE in the morning and then decreasing in the afternoon and evening with the wind coming from the north. Temperatures in the low to mid 40's.

Freeze Warning for Suffolk from 2 AM to 10 AM on Saturday.

Tonight: Mostly clear and cold with lows mostly in the upper 20's to low 30's, but it could get as cold as 23 degrees at the normally coldest spot of Westhampton Beach. The wind will be fairly light. 

Tomorrow (Halloween): Mostly sunny and chilly a light breeze with highs in the upper 40's.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of some scattered showers with a warmer SSW wind at 10 to 20 mph with highs in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees. A strong cold front will come through at night with gusts up to 35 mph.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny, windy, and cold with highs only in the mid 40's. Wind gusts up to 35 mph from the WNW to NW. 

Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny and still breezy with highs in the upper 40's.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 50's.

Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 60's. 

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... Coastal flood advisories remain up across Lower NY Harbor, the south shore back bays of Queens, Nassau and SW Suffolk, the remaining shoreline of Suffolk and the shorelines of Fairfield and Westchester along western Long Island. Widespread minor flooding expected as NE flow strengthens late tonight, with water levels already elevated due to the full moon on Halloween. Localized moderate flooding is still a possibility in southern Nassau and nearby SW Suffolk, possibly also in far western Staten Island near Tottenville and the Outerbridge Crossing. Total tide departures should range from about 1.5-2 ft in most places, to locally 2.5-3 ft in western Peconic Bay, the south shore back bays of Nassau and SW Suffolk, and far western Raritan Bay. Elevated seas should also cause beach erosion along the oceanfront, perhaps localized washovers on the east end of Long Island. Wave action may also enhance coastal flood impacts across the north shore of Long Island, the north shore of the barrier islands, and the north shore of the south fork. Localized minor coastal flooding is again possible with the Friday night and Saturday morning high tides along the south shore back bays of Nassau and far SW Suffolk.

- 1st and 2nd images: Invest 96L

- 3rd image: Projected snowfall from the NWS through 8 PM

- 4th and 5th images: Simulated future radar from the NAM for 9 AM and 2 PM

- 6th image: From the NWS, showing the location of Freeze Warnings and Coastal Flood Advisories

- 7th and 8th images: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days and GFS ensembles for the next 10 days, respectively

- 9th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend

9 views0 comments