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Tropics still not dead as Kappa could form off east coast, very cold today, and the LI forecast:

The tropical wave in the southern Caribbean will likely not become a tropical storm, but areas of heavy rain are possible during the next several days from Nicaragua southward across Central America and into Colombia. These rains could cause new flooding concerns, especially across previously inundated areas.


I think the system off the east coast has a decent chance of becoming Subtropical Storm Kappa, but it won't make it to the east coast.


Very cold today with wind chill temperatures in the 20's all day on Long Island with highs mostly in the upper 30's with wind gusts up to 25 mph. After a very cold night tonight, we have mild days ahead from Friday to Monday. The weekend looks dry with some rain on Monday into Monday night. Dry and chilly weather ten returns on Tuesday.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:


Today (Wednesday): Mostly sunny, windy, and cold with highs only around 38 to 40 degrees with wind chills in the 20's. Wind gusts up to 25 mph from the northwest.

Tonight: Clear and very cold with winds becoming light after midnight, allowing for radiational cooling. Lows mostly in the mid 20's, but the Pine Barrens in eastern to central Suffolk should get down into the upper teens.

Tomorrow (Thursday): Partly cloudy with highs around 50 degrees as the wind shifts to the warmer SSW direction in the afternoon at up to 20 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny and a little breezy with highs in the upper 50's.

Saturday: Mostly sunny with highs around 60 degrees and lighter winds.

Sunday: Increasing clouds in the afternoon with highs in the upper 50's.

Monday: Cloudy and continued mild with a 70% chance of showers. Highs around 60 to 62 degrees.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy and much cooler with highs in the upper 40's to around 50 degrees.


- 1st image: Overview map of the tropics from the NHC

- 2nd image: Projected wind chill temperatures for 9:00 this morning

- 3rd image: Projected snowfall for the next 15 days from the Euro ensemble mean

- 4th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend

- 5th image: Projected precipitation for the next 7 days from the Weather Prediction Center







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