Search
  • My Personal Weatherman

Update on Hurricane Eta as Storm Surge Warning issued for portion of Florida:

Hurricane Eta has maximum sustained winds of 75, a minimum central pressure of 983 mb, and is heading NNE at 15 mph. A Storm Surge Warning has been issued for the Florida west coast from Suwannee River to Bonita Beach, including Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor with a maximum projected storm surge of 3 to 5 feet. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Anna Maria Island to Yankeetown. A few tornadoes are possible through tonight over parts of western and central Florida.


The following is from the NHC:

It is quite possible that Eta has peaked in intensity based on the rapid erosion of the convective pattern and an eye feature no longer evident in radar or passive microwave satellite imagery. However, there still remains a band of strong convection in the northeastern quadrant that contains Doppler radar velocity values of 80-88 kt between 6000-9000 ft, which corresponds to equivalent surface winds of at least 65 kt. As long as that feature persists, hurricane-force winds are possible along immediate coastal areas within the hurricane watch area. The latest GFS-and ECMWF-based SHIPS intensity guidance shows significantly drier air wrapping into the center by 24 hours, along with the vertical wind shear increasing to more than 20 kt from the west at that time. That combination of unfavorable environmental parameters is expected to lead to gradual weakening until landfall occurs in about 24 hours, followed by rapid weakening after landfall. Eta is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by 60 hours due to even stronger wind shear, and dissipate by 96 hours due to frontal interaction.








7 views

© 2023 by Marketing Solutions. Proudly created with Wix.com