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Update on Long Island and the tropics:


- The National Hurricane Center has increased the chance of tropical development in the western Caribbean within the next 5 days to 60%. There is still a lot of uncertainty, but this system may stay to the south and affect Mexico or Central America. However, the system behind it may have a better chance at coming northward towards the United States late next week or next weekend.

Long Island:

- Heavy rain and wind are currently moving eastward across Long Island. At the current time (4:28 AM), the squall line just passed me in northwest Nassau with heavy rain and wind, but now the wind has died down. This will happen as it sweeps eastward.

Today: Heavy rain and wind early in the morning tapering off to showers and ending from west to east between 9 AM and 11 AM. Quickly turning mostly sunny and less humid by early afternoon from west to east as the cold front moves through, but it will be breezy with gusts over 25 mph in the afternoon from the W to WSW. Highs in the low 70's.

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny with low humidity with highs mostly in the low 70's. 

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of showers. Highs mostly in the mid to upper 60's.

Saturday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60's.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60's.

Monday: Cloudy with a 50% chance of showers with highs in the mid to upper 60's

- 1st image (video): Current radar up to 4:28 AM

- 2nd image: From the National Hurricane Center

- 3rd and 4th images: GFS ensembles and Euro ensembles, respectively, each for the next 15 days

- 5th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend

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