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Update on potential Zeta as it's projected to head towards the central Gulf coast:

Invest 95L is likely to become a Tropical Depression later today, and then Tropical Storm Zeta shortly thereafter. I have included the new 06Z ensembles from the Euro (2nd image) and GFS (3rd image), as well as early 12Z track guidance from various models. Landfall along the central Gulf coast looks to be around Wednesday night. Intensity is the big question, but the range is probably from a mid-range tropical storm to a category 1 hurricane. I will continue to update with the latest information, including how this will affect the northeast late next week.







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