• My Personal Weatherman

Update on Teddy, Wilfred, ex-Paulette seeking new life, the rest of the tropics, and Long Island:

Hurricane Teddy:

Teddy has maximum sustained winds of 130 mph with a minimum central pressure of 947 mb. It should remain a Category 4 hurricane today and then slowly start to weaken tomorrow. It will still be a powerful hurricane when it likely passes just east of Bermuda Sunday night. There will then be a slight bend to the NNW as it heads for Nova Scotia while transitioning into a powerful extratropical storm on Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night.

Tropical Depression Twenty-Two (future Wilfred):

This should become Tropical Storm Wilfred later today and it could become a hurricane on Sunday or Monday. Movement will be very slow, and it should get close to the southeast coast of Texas, but perhaps not make landfall. There is a larger than normal amount of uncertainty in the future track, but it could be an eventual threat to the central Gulf coast states, but that is well beyond the 5-day forecast period from the National Hurricane Center.


From the NHC: Post-tropical cyclone Paulette is located several hundred miles north-northwest of the Azores. The cyclone is forecast to move quickly southward for the next several days and then stall over marginally warm waters a few hundred miles south or south-southwest of the Azores by the end of the weekend. The cyclone could subsequently redevelop tropical characteristics late this weekend or early next week while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Invest 98L:

This system out in the eastern Atlantic has a pretty good chance of becoming Tropical Storm Alpha on Sunday. It's expected to weaken next week and isn't a threat to land as it generally heads to the northwest towards the middle of the Atlantic.

System over Africa:

From the NHC: Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by early Saturday. Some gradual development of the system will be possible thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Long Island:

- After the early morning showers over Suffolk, no rain is expected for the next 7 days on Long Island.

Today: Early morning showers for Suffolk, and then becoming mostly sunny and much less humid this afternoon from northwest to southeast. Breezy with wind gusts up to 20 mph from the north. Highs mostly in the upper 60's.

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny and breezy with very low humidity with highs mostly in the low to mid 60's.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with very low humidity with highs mostly in the low to mid 60's. 

Monday: Mostly sunny with low humidity with highs mostly in the mid 60's.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy with low humidity with highs mostly around 70 degrees.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and warmer with highs mostly in the mid 70's. 

Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs mostly in the mid to upper 70's.

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