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Update on the active tropics and Long Island weather:

Tropical Storm Paulette:

Paulette has 50 mph maximum sustained winds, but it's not expected to become a hurricane in the next 5 days. The NHC is projecting it to reach a max intensity of 65 mph. There is a lot of uncertainty in the track beyond the next few days. There is a chance that it could pass between the Carolinas and Bermuda, but it's still not expected to make it to the east coast of the United States.


Tropical Storm Rene:

Rene is a minimal tropical storm with 40 mph maximum sustained winds, but it's expected to become a hurricane on Thursday. However, it will curve to the north into the middle of the Atlantic, and it's not a threat to the United States.


Invest 94L:

This is the system to the southwest of Bermuda. The NHC is giving it a 40% chance of tropical development. Regardless of development though, it's expected to contribute to a lot of rain along the Carolina coast this week.


System over Africa:

If 94L doesn't become a named storm, this system will likely become Tropical Storm Sally later this week or this weekend, and it has the potential to become a hurricane and threaten the northern Caribbean islands next week. The Euro is showing it becoming a hurricane and hitting the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico next Wed/Thurs.


Long Island:

Today: Becoming mostly sunny with moderate humidity with highs mostly in the low 80's.

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy with increasing humidity with just a slight chance of a shower in the afternoon or evening. Highs mostly in the low 80's.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and humid with a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms at times throughout the day and into the night with some heavy downpours possible. Highs mostly in the low 80's.

Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning, but becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon and less humid with highs mostly in the mid 70's.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with low humidity with highs mostly in the low to mid 70's.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy and becoming more humid in the afternoon and evening with a 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the afternoon and into the night. Some heavy downpours will be possible. Highs mostly in the upper 70's.


- 1st image: Euro ensembles for the next 10 days

- 2nd image: Map from the National Hurricane Center showing all of the systems

- 3rd and 4th images: Forecast maps for Paulette and Rene, respectively, from the National Hurricane Center

- 5th image (video): IR satellite video of the entire Atlantic basin

- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend

- 7th image: Projected rainfall for the next 5 days from the Weather Prediction Center









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