Update on the rain/wind storm, searching for snow, and the Long Island forecast:
The only real change to the storm is a slightly later timing with most of the rain/wind for Long Island being after midnight, with the rain not ending until late morning to early afternoon tomorrow from west to east. The High Wind Warning for Long Island is from 6 PM today to 10 AM tomorrow for gusts up to 65 mph.
If you're looking for a snowstorm for Long Island and most of the northeast, we have a chance around January 4th. The main Euro run ends at 10 days, but it has a storm approaching. Also, 8 of the 50 Euro ensemble members are showing at least 2 inches of snow on Long Island around January 4th/5th. With a negative NAO, negative AO, and slightly positive PNA, we will have a chance.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
**A High Wind Warning has been issued by the National Weather Service from 6 PM today (Thursday) to 10 AM tomorrow (Friday) for wind gusts up to 65 mph from the south to south-southeast **
Today and tonight (Christmas Eve): Cloudy and mild with a slight chance of some light scattered showers in the afternoon, but with a better chance of a steady rain developing at night after 11 PM as a strong cold front approaches. Highs will be in the upper 50's to near 60 degrees with a S to SSE wind up to 35 mph this afternoon, increasing in the evening to 45 mph. After midnight and into tomorrow morning, the rain will be heavy at times with strong wind gusts of 45 to potentially 65 mph with temperatures in the upper 50's to near 60 degrees before the cold front moves through. Total rainfall should be close to 2 inches. As of now, the heaviest rain looks to be between 3 AM and 8 AM. There will also be coastal flooding.
Tomorrow (Christmas Day): Rain and wind ending around late morning to early afternoon from west to east with temperatures dropping throughout the day from the upper 50's early in the morning into the low 40's by late afternoon as the wind shifts to the WSW behind the front with gusts of 25 mph in the afternoon. Remaining mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and cold with highs in the low to mid 30's. It will also be breezy.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and cold with highs in the upper 30's.
Monday: Cloudy and milder with showers possible in the afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 40's.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 30's.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 30's.
- 1st image: Maximum projected wind gusts from the National Weather Service
- 2nd image: Projected precipitation through 7 AM Saturday from the Weather Prediction Center
- 3rd image: Projected snowfall for the next 10 days from the Euro
- 4th to 7th images: Simulated future radar from the HRRR model for 10 PM tonight and 2 AM, 6 AM, and 1 PM tomorrow
- 8th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 9th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend