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Update on the tropics:

Things will be getting more active next week, but for now, each system only has a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days. The 2nd and 3rd images show the GFS ensembles and Euro ensembles for the next 15 days, respectively.


The following is from the National Hurricane Center:


1. A broad non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form over the next couple of days several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Additional slow development will be possible thereafter into early next week while the system moves southwestward and then westward, passing about between Bermuda and the northern Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 2. A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of the system will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.





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