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Update on the tropics and Long Island weather through Labor Day weekend

Tropics:

  • There are now 3 areas to watch, as designated by the National Hurricane Center. It looks like the system that will develop off the Carolina coastline has a pretty good chance of becoming Tropical Storm Nana as it heads out to sea; the National Hurricane Center is giving it a 50% probability of tropical development. The other two systems are at a 30% and 40% probability of tropical development within the next 5 days.

  • (8:20 AM edit: There are now 4 areas to watch - see the last image for the newly updated map from the National Hurricane Center.)

  • While the map in the 1st image looks kind of ominous, the Euro ensembles are showing that there isn't really a threat to the United States from these systems. However, when looking 15 days out, tracks can certainly change.

Long Island:

  • Today: Sunny with low humidity with highs mostly in the upper 70's. The wind will be mostly from the northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tomorrow: Partly cloudy in the morning, but becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs mostly in the mid 70's.

  • Tuesday: A 50% chance of showers in the morning and just a 20% chance of showers in the afternoon, and it will probably end up just being mostly cloudy in the afternoon with highs mostly in the mid 70's.

  • Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy and humid with just a 20% chance of a shower. Highs mostly in the upper 70's.

  • Thursday: Partly cloudy, warm, and humid with highs mostly in the low to mid 80's. There is a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon.

  • Friday: Partly cloudy, warm, and humid in the morning into early afternoon, but the humidity will be decreasing throughout the afternoon and evening. Highs mostly in the low to mid 80's with just a slight chance of a passing shower or thunderstorm.

  • Saturday: Mostly sunny and less humid with highs mostly in the upper 70's.

  • Sunday: Partly cloudy with highs mostly in the mid to upper 70's.

  • Labor Day: Partly cloudy and a little more humid with highs mostly in the upper 70's. There may be a very slight chance of a stray afternoon shower or thunderstorm.

- 1st image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days.

- 2nd image: From the National Hurricane Center.

- 3rd image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend.

- 4th image: Projected rainfall for the next 7 days from the Weather Prediction Center.

- 5th image: The newly updated map from the National Hurricane Center, as of their 8 AM update.









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