- The Tropical Depression way out in the Atlantic is about to dissipate and likely won't take the name Julia. However, the National Hurricane Center does note, and this is something I mentioned yesterday, that it may re-generate in the middle of the Atlantic.
- Invest 91L, the future Caribbean Sea tropical system, may become a hurricane before making landfall in Central America as ridging to its north will keep it on a westerly track. Only a few rogue Euro ensemble members eventually have it emerge into the Gulf of Mexico after crossing over land.
- More rain this morning for Long Island with some heavy downpours around and possibly a rumble of thunder, and then any showers becoming much more scattered and lighter this afternoon and evening before the storm finally pulls away. Mostly sunny days are then expected for at least the next 6 days with warm weather tomorrow and Friday before the chilly weekend and moderating temperatures early next week.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Rain in the morning with some moderate to heavy downpours possible and then scattered showers possible in the afternoon with highs around 60 degrees. Wind out of the NE at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Tonight: Cloudy with a 30% chance of widely scattered showers in the evening with partial clearing possible towards morning. Wind out of the N, decreasing to around 10 mph.
Tomorrow: Clouds early and then becoming party to mostly sunny with highs around 70 degrees, but upper 60's for the east end. Wind out of the NWW then WSW at around 5 mph.
Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy with lows in the mid 50's. Wind generally out of the WSW at around 5 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 70's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the WSW to W at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 20 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and much cooler with highs in the upper 50's. Wind out of the WNW to NW at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with highs just above 60 degrees. Wind out of the WNW to W at 10 to 15 mph.
Monday (Columbus Day): Sunny with highs in the low to mid 60's. Wind generally out of the W at 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday: Sunny with highs in the mid 60's. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 2nd image: Overview of the tropics from the National Hurricane Center
- 3rd image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days
- 4th and 5th images: Projected temperatures for Long Island from the NWS Model Blend and then GFS, respectively
