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Update on the tropics, the northeast storm, and the Long Island forecast:


There are still 3 areas to watch, but tropical development is not expected for any of them within the next 3 to 5 days. See last night's post for more information on each of them, and I will continue to post updates.

Northeast Storm:

Rainfall amounts have trended down a little for Long Island, but there should still be over 1 inch of rain by mid-morning on Saturday. The good news is that it should end from west to east between around 6 AM and 9 AM. Higher rainfall totals are likely in New England (see 1st image). Snow is still expected in the higher elevations of northern New England.

Long Island forecast:

Today: Mostly sunny and breezy with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon (there could be gusts up to 30 mph right along the shore) from the S to SSW with highs in the low 70's.

Tomorrow: Cloudy with some scattered showers and becoming a steadier rain at night with some heavy rain at times overnight. Temperatures slowly dropping throughout the day from the low to mid 60's in the morning to the mid 50's by late afternoon. 1 to 1.5 inches of rain is likely by mid-morning on Saturday.

Saturday: Breezy and chilly with rain ending from around 6 AM to 9 AM from west to east with the sun then coming out by late morning. Highs only around 60 degrees.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low 60's.

Monday: Partly cloudy with highs in the mid 60's.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 60's.

- 1st image: Projected precipitation through 2 AM Sunday from the Weather Prediction Center

- 2nd image: Future simulated radar from the NAM from 6 AM tomorrow to 6 AM Saturday

- 3rd image: Overview of the tropics from the National Hurricane Center

- 4th image: GFS ensembles for the next 15 days

- 5th image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 6th and 7th images: Projected snowfall from the Euro through 2 PM Saturday and the National Weather Service through 8 AM Saturday, respectively.

- 8th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend

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