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Update on the tropics, as it's getting more interesting:

The system ESE of Bermuda is now Invest 94L and the NHC has increased the chance of tropical development within the next 5 days to 60%, and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to form by Monday, and it will likely be named Epsilon shortly thereafter.


Of more concern may be the potential for a hurricane to form in the southwestern Caribbean next week. If 94L becomes Epsilon, this potential storm would be named Zeta.


My next post will be sometime after 8:00 tonight.


Here are the GFS ensemble members for the next 13 days. Check out the control run (eC) and ensemble member #3 (e3):




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