Update while the Euro ensembles are running:
The 1st image shows the Euro ensembles locations this weekend with the potential for 4 storms. I will have another update later this afternoon. I am expecting Tropical Depression Eighteen to be upgraded to Tropical Storm Rene when the 5 PM advisory comes out from the National Hurricane Center.
The 2nd image is the new early 18Z track guidance for Tropical Storm Paulette with a slight westward shift.
The system that will be emerging off the coast of Africa in a few days is now up to a 50% chance of tropical development within the next 5 days.