Upper 60's in NE NJ today, the L.I. forecast, and still watching a potential storm around Jan 14th:

- You can see the forecast highs for today in the 1st image, and 70 degrees can't be ruled out in northeastern NJ with enough sun. Highs on Long Island will vary greatly where it may reach 65 degrees out my house in northwestern Nassau, but only the low 50's out by Montauk. You can see areas where the warm front hasn't reached in New England will be much chillier.

- The rain should arrive on Long Island between around 4 PM and 5:30 PM from west to east and continue mostly until around or just after midnight.

- The Jan 11th storm will probably stay offshore and keep us dry, but there is still the potential storm around Jan 14th, as you can see in the 3rd image. The details are obviously highly uncertain still, but I will continue to update. At this point, almost 1/3rd of the Euro ensemble members are showing at least some snow for Long Island with around 15% of them showing a decent snowstorm.

LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Partial sunshine in the morning and then becoming cloudy with rain arriving in the late afternoon and very mild with highs in the low to mid 60's in western Nassau, low 60's in eastern Nassau and western Suffolk, and around 60 degrees in central Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and much cooler for the east end. Wind out of the SSW then S at 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Rain, mostly before 1 AM, with lows in the upper 40's. Wind out of the S to SE at around 5 mph and then out of the NE by morning.

Tomorrow: Cloudy with a slight chance of a shower with highs just above 50 degrees. Wind out of the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow night: Cloudy with a slight chance of a light shower with lows around 40 degrees. Wind generally light and variable.

Friday: Cloudy with some light widely scattered showers possible in the morning into early afternoon and then becoming partly cloudy by late afternoon or early evening with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the W to WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Partly sunny with highs in the low to mid 40's. Wind out of the WNW at around 10 mph.

Sunday: Partly sunny in the morning with increasing clouds in the afternoon with highs in the low 40's. Wind out of the NNW and then W/SW late in afternoon at 5 to 10 mph.

Monday: Cloudy with a 50% chance of showers in the morning into early afternoon and then becoming partly cloudy late in the afternoon or early in the evening with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the W at 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

- 1st image: Projected highs for today from the NWS

- 2nd image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 3rd image: Projected storm locations and strengths from the Euro ensembles for 7 PM on Jan 14th

- 4th and 5th images: 10-day snow and precipitation maps from the Model Blend

- 6th and 7th images: Projected temperatures for Long Island