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Warm and dry week, tropics not as bad as NHC map looks, and timing the weekend cold front:

- It will be a dry and increasingly warm week on Long Island with highs getting into the upper 70's by Friday for western Long Island. While there is a slight chance of a light shower Friday night or Saturday morning, the main area of showers and possibly thunderstorms would be in association with a cold front moving through Saturday night, but the exact timing is still uncertain. Saturday looks warm, breezy, and humid ahead of the front.

- While the NHC map for the tropics looks active, none of the systems are expected to become tropical storms or hurricanes.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today (Columbus Day): Mostly cloudy in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with highs in the low 70's. Wind out of the NE at 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with lows in the mid to upper 50's. Wind out of the ENE at around 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Partly sunny with a lot of high clouds with highs in the low 70's. Wind out of the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Becoming mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 70's. Light and variable wind at 5 mph or less.

Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 70's. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy with highs ranging from the mid to upper 70's in Nassau to the mid 70's for most of Suffolk and low 70's for the east end. Wind out of the WSW at 5 mph.

Saturday: Slight chance of a morning shower, otherwise partly cloudy and humid. There is a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm at night, depending on the timing of an approaching cold front. Highs in the mid 70's. Wind out of the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Depending on the timing of the cold front, a chance of showers in the morning and then becoming mostly sunny and less humid with highs around 70 degrees. Wind out of the W at 10 to 15 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: Overview of the tropics from the NHC

- 3rd image: Euro ensembles for the next 10 days

- 4th image: Projected rainfall through 2 AM Saturday from the Weather Prediction Center

- 5th image: Projected temperatures for Farmingdale, Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend







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