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Welcome to November as it starts chilly and uneventful as weekend system should stay offshore:

- With the exception of a slight chance of a shower for Long Island tomorrow late afternoon/evening and again early Friday morning, it looks like a mostly dry and chilly week and weekend. The models and most of the Euro ensembles keep the weekend system offshore, but it still needs to be watched until all of the ensembles are offshore.

- From NWS NY covering Long Island and the Tri-state area: "For the coastal plain, temps in the mid to upper 30s likely Tuesday Night, and lower to mid 30s for Wednesday Night, outside of NYC/NJ metro. This will bring likelihood for first widespread frost Wednesday Night, and potential for localized freeze. Some patchy frost possible Tuesday Night for coastal plain depending on how quickly clouds clear and winds decouple."

- Milder weather looks to return as we get closer to the middle of the month.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Sunny with highs in the upper 50's to around 60 degrees. Wind out of the WNW to NW at 10 to 20 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with lows mostly in the low 40's, but some upper 30's in the Pine Barrens area of Suffolk. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of a late afternoon or evening shower with highs in the mid 50's. Wind generally out of the W at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tomorrow night: Mostly cloudy in the evening with a slight chance of a shower, and then becoming mostly clear and cold. Lows in the mid to upper 30's. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the WNW to NW at around 10 mph.

Wednesday night: Partly cloudy and cold with lows in the mid 30's. Wind out of the N at 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the NNE to NE at 5 to 10 mph.

Friday: A Slight chance of morning showers and then becoming partly cloudy with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the NNE at 10 to 15 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected storm locations and strengths at 2 AM Sunday from the Euro ensembles

- 3rd to 5th images: Projected rainfall for the next 7 days from the WPC, Euro, and Euro ensemble mean, respectively

- 6th image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles

- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Farmingdale, Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend











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