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Changeable conditions with large temperatures ranges and then the cooler weather for Mother's Day weekend before we warm up again on Monday, which sounds vaguely familiar, LOL.

- We have the line of showers and storms for this morning with more action to the north, and then a second line of scattered storms to the north while we have a huge temperature gradient with highs today in the mid 80's in NYC, around 80 for me in northern Nassau and only low 60's for the south fork of Long Island.

- Still mild tomorrow with showers arriving mostly in the afternoon, and then the flow switches to a cooler onshore direction with occasional showers on Friday.

- Then we have dry and cool weather for Long Island on Saturday with occasional showers possible in the interior areas of the northeast as the upper level trough approaches.

- Cool weather continues on Mother's Day with some occasional showers and there could be isolated thunderstorms in the interior with a cold pool of air aloft.

- It clears up and warms up on Monday back into the 60's with sunshine.

- In the last image, you can see there will be a lot of rain for the southeastern states over the next 10 days!

- 1st image: My Long Island forecast

- 2nd image: Future radar for 11 AM today from the NAM

- 3rd image: Highs for today from the HRRR model

- 4th image: Severe weather potential for today into tonight

- 5th image: Long Island temperatures from the Euro ensembles

- 6th image: 10-day rainfall map from the Model Blend

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