Confidence increasing in the heavy snow being for inland areas with snow to rain for Long Island:
- Firstly, we have the huge offshore storm on Friday, which will clip eastern MA and DownEast Maine and be a huge blizzard for Nova Scotia. There is even a slight chance of showers from it for eastern Long Island Friday morning.
- The big story for Friday night into Sunday morning will be the frigid temperatures with wind chill temperatures below zero on Long Island late Friday night through Saturday morning (the 2nd image is for 7 AM Saturday).
- The models continue to show the inland track with the strong storm Sunday night into Monday, and the ensembles have shifted west as well. Of course, it's not set in stone yet and there will be more shifts. With the current scenario, the early thinking is that it would be snow starting on Long Island Sunday evening/night with possibly an inch or so before changing to heavy rain with wind gusts over 40 mph.
- I will continue to update today into tonight with the latest info.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Mostly sunny, breezy, and not as cold in the afternoon after a frigid start with highs in the low 40's, except near 40 degrees in northern Nassau. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph at times.
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy with lows in the upper 20's. Wind out of the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Tomorrow: Partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 40's. Light & variable wind.
Tomorrow night: Mostly cloudy with lows near 30 degrees. Calm wind in the evening an then becoming out of the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday: Cloudy in the morning (slight chance of showers in eastern Suffolk from the huge ocean storm) and then some breaks of sun in the afternoon and becoming breezy with temperatures steady to slowly falling from the mid 30's to the low 30's. Wind becoming out of the N at 15 to 20 mph with gusts over 25 mph.
Friday night: Mostly clear, windy, and frigid with lows of 7 to 11 degrees. Wind out of the NNW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 30 mph.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and very cold with highs around 20 degrees. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with increasing high clouds late in the day with a chance of snow changing to rain night with highs around 30 degrees and then rising at night. Wind out of the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.
Monday: Rainy and windy with highs in the low to mid 40's. Wind out of the ENE in the morning and then WNW in the afternoon at 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 30 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island
- 2nd image: Projected wind chill temperatures at 7 AM Saturday from the GFS
- 3rd and 4th images: Snow maps from the Euro and GFS through 1 AM next Tuesday
- 5th image: Projected storm locations and strengths at 1 PM Monday from the Euro ensembles
- 6th image: Projected 24-hour snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days from every Euro ensemble member
- 7th image: Snow map from the Euro for the southeast and Mid-Atlantic
- 8th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS model blend