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New ensembles are concerning, and the latest on Fiona and the Long Island forecast:

- The Euro ensembles continue to show the potential for another hurricane to form next week in the Caribbean and possibly turn northward towards the western Gulf or Florida at the end of the month. It's too early for any further info, and the National Hurricane Center doesn't even have it as an area to watch yet.

- Hurricane Fiona made landfall in the western Dominican Republic early this morning with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph, and it will soon re-emerge over water and continue to strengthen as it heads close to Bermuda later this week as a major hurricane and then towards Newfoundland as a monster storm.

- The details for the Long Island forecast are below, but it will feel like summer today, and a cold front will come through this evening with some scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm, but the thunderstorms should mostly be north and west of Long Island. The next cold front comes through Thursday morning with showers and possibly a thunderstorm, and then a beautiful fall weekend is ahead with low humidity and highs in the mid 60's Friday (and windy), 70 degrees on Saturday, and the mid 70's on Sunday.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Mostly sunny in the morning with increasing clouds in the afternoon, and it will be humid with a slight chance of a stray shower or thunderstorm by late afternoon for western Long Island with highs in the mid 80's in Nassau and low 80's in Suffolk, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the WSW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the SSW at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon with gusts over 20 mph.

Tonight: Humid with some scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm in the evening and then clearing skies after 2 AM with lows in the upper 60's in Nassau mid 60's in Suffolk. Wind out of the WSW to W at around 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Sunny in the morning with a few more clouds in the afternoon and less humid with a very slight chance of a passing shower in northeastern Suffolk with highs in the low 80's in Nassau and around 80 degrees in Suffolk, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

Tomorrow night: Mostly clear with lows in the low 60's in Nassau an around 60 degrees in Suffolk with some upper 50's in the Pine Barrens area in Suffolk. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with low to moderate humidity with increasing high clouds late in the day with highs around 80 degrees, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NNW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the SSW to S at 10 to 15 mph by mid to late afternoon.

Thursday: Showers in the morning ending from west to east in the early afternoon with some partial clearing and becoming breezy and less humid with highs in mid 70's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph late.

Friday: Mostly sunny, windy, and much cooler with low humidity with highs only in the mid 60's. Wind out of the NW at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny with low humidity with highs around 70 degrees, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NW to WNW at around 10 mph.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with low humidity with highs in the mid 70's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: Official NHC forecast map for Fiona

- 3rd image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 4th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend








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