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Summer begins 10:57 AM and it will be the last of the decent days for a while:

- Relatively cool today with an onshore flow and even cooler tomorrow with the rain for Long Island, and then the flow becomes more southern with high humidity and a chance of showers and thunderstorms at times into next week.

- The Model Blend 10-day rainfall map (3rd image) is very robust with it generally showing 3 to 6 inches of rain for most of the northeast.

- Tropical Storm Bret has strengthened to 60 mph as it continues to head towards the Caribbean, but it's not a threat to the United States as wind shear will cause it to dissipate into an open wave in the Caribbean Sea.

- Tropical Storm Cindy will likely form by the end of the week, but it will then head northwest (see Euro ensembles map in the 5th image).


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today (Summer begins at 10:57 AM): Partly sunny and breezy with highs in the low 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the E at 10 to 20 mph with to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Increasing (lowering) clouds and windy with showers developing mainly after midnight with lows in the mid to upper 50's in Nassau and mid 50's in Suffolk. Wind out of the E/ENE at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

Tomorrow: Rainy, windy, and cool with highs only in the mid 60's, and even cooler for the east end. Wind out of the ENE/E at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Tomorrow night: Cloudy, breezy, and humid with occasional showers with lows mostly in the low 60's. Wind out of the E/ENE at 10 to 20 mph.

Friday: Cloudy and humid with occasional showers and a chance of a thunderstorm (in the afternoon) with highs in the mid to upper 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the ES/SE at around 10 mph in the morning and then out of the SSE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and humid with some breaks of sun possible and scattered showers/ thunderstorms at times with highs in the upper 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the S at 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Partly sunny (mostly cloudy overall) and humid with a 40% chance of a shower or thunderstorm, mainly in the afternoon/evening with highs in the low 80's in Nassau and around 80 degrees in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the SW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the S at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Monday: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy and humid with a chance of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon/ evening with highs around 80 degrees, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the S at 10 to 15 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: Future radar from the NAM for 11 AM tomorrow

- 3rd image: 10-day rainfall map from the Model Blend

- 4th image: Tropical Storm Bret

- 5th image: Euro ensembles for the tropics for the next 10 days







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