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Update on the Long Island forecast and the tropics:

- The inland thunderstorms for later today into this evening will drastically weaken to showers by the time they get to Long Island (see 5th and 6th images for future radar) towards and mostly after midnight, so you may get a passing shower around 1 AM to 5 AM from west to east.

- Behind the front, the humidity will rapidly drop tomorrow morning as the wind becomes out of the W to WNW with some beautiful days ahead. The humidity will gradually increase this weekend with a chance of some showers by Sunday evening. It then looks like an extended period of unsettled weather with some rain from Labor Day afternoon into Wednesday.

- You can see the 2 potential tropical systems in the images below. Invest 91L may pose a problem for Bermuda, but there is still plenty of time to watch it. Depending on where the center of circulation forms, there are still a few rogue ensemble members that are southern and western outliers that can't be entirely discounted just yet.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Partly cloudy overall, humid, and becoming breezy with highs in the mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the S at 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon with gusts over 25 mph late in the day.

Tonight: Humid with increasing clouds with some scattered showers and possibly a weakening thunderstorm, mostly after 11 PM. Lows in the low 70's. Wind out of the S at 10 to 20 mph in the evening and then out of the WSW at 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

Tomorrow: Some early clouds east and then sunny and much less humid by late morning with highs in the mid to upper 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the W to WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Tomorrow night: Clear skies with low humidity and lows in the mid 60's. Wind out of the WNW at around 10 mph.

Thursday: Sunny with low humidity with highs in the low to mid 80's. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Friday: Sunny with low humidity with highs in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NNE and then SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with low to moderate humidity with highs in the low 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind nearly calm in the morning and then out of the SSE at around 10 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday: Partly cloudy and more humid with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm by late afternoon with highs in the mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and SSW 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Monday (Labor Day): Mostly cloudy and humid with a 60% chance of some afternoon showers with highs around 80 degrees. Wind out of the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day outlook for Long Island

- 2nd image: From the NHC

- 3rd image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 4th image: 06Z storm tracks from various models

- 5th and 6th images: Future radar for 8:00 tonight and 4:00 early tomorrow morning

- 7th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend









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