A bit of everything with sun, haze, smoke, thunderstorms, and an Air Quality Alert:
- Haze and patchy near-surface smoke around today with an Air Quality Alert in effect until midnight with warm conditions with thunderstorms possible in the afternoon which could bring brief downpours and gusty winds with a rapid temperature drop.
- While it will be mainly dry from Wednesday to Saturday, there is a chance of a shower each afternoon with the best chance being Friday afternoon when some more widespread showers look likely.
- Wildfire haze and smoke looks to return tomorrow late afternoon or early evening into the night.
- Any showers should hold off until Sunday evening/night with a better chance of more rain on Monday/Tuesday.
- There is also an unusual fire spread situation in NJ and eastern PA today (see 4th image). This is from the Storm Prediction Center: A highly unusual scenario supporting wildfire spread is possible today across parts of the Northeast. Dry/breezy surface conditions and dry thunderstorms are possible this afternoon. Gusty, erratic winds may also accompany the storms, further aggravating fire conditions.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: **Air Quality Alert until midnight** Hazy sunshine from wildfire smoke with some patchy smoke near the surface and also more clouds in the afternoon with a shower possible in the morning with a better chance and possibly a thunderstorm in the mid to late afternoon with highs in the upper 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the WNW/NW at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph, but much stronger gusts are possible in a thunderstorm.
Tonight: Mostly clear to partly cloudy with some haze/smoke with lows in the mid to upper 50's in Nassau and mid 50's in Suffolk. Wind out of the NW at around 10 mph.
Tomorrow: Mostly sunny with more clouds and haze/smoke returning late with a slight chance of an afternoon shower with highs mostly in the low to mid 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the NW at 10 to 15 mph.
Tomorrow night: Mostly clear with haze/smoke with lows in the mid 50's in Nassau and low to mid 50's in Suffolk. Wind out of the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny in the morning and partly sunny in the afternoon with a 20% chance of a late afternoon shower with highs in the low 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday: Partly cloudy in the morning and mostly cloudy in the afternoon with a 50% chance of some showers in the afternoon with highs in the low 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the NW then WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with a slight chance of a shower with highs in the mid 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the NW at around 5 mph in the morning and then out of the W then SSW at around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday: Partly sunny with a slight chance of a shower by late afternoon or early evening with highs in the upper 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the W/WSW around 5 mph in the morning and then out of the SSW then S at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with some periods of rain likely with highs in the low to mid 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the N at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the E then SE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 2nd image: Projected highs for today
- 3rd image: Future radar for 4 PM today from the HRRR model to give a general idea
- 4th image: Fire spread conditions
- 5th image: Projected wildfire smoke at 5 PM today from the HRRR model
- 6th image: Temperatures for Long Island from the Model Blend
