A nice day today, but overall not a great pattern ahead with cooler weather and rain at times:

- Mostly sunny and around 80 degrees today, but then showers and thunderstorms at time from tomorrow afternoon into Saturday night.

- There's a good chance of Sunday (Father's Day) and Monday (Juneteenth) being mainly dry, but then cooler and more unsettled weather arrives for the middle and end of next week., and then we should warm up at the end of the month.

- There continues to be the chance for a rare June tropical system in the Atlantic next week (see 5th image).

LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Mostly sunny with highs around 80 degrees, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with lows in the low to mid 60's in Nassau and mostly in the low 60's in Suffolk. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph in the evening and then becoming nearly calm after midnight.

Tomorrow: Hazy sunshine in the morning with increasing clouds in the afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms arriving around mid-afternoon with highs in the upper 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind light and variable in the morning and then out of the S at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tomorrow night: Scattered showers at times with lows in the low 60's in Nassau and around 60 degrees in Suffolk. Wind out of the SE then NE at 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers/ thunderstorms at times with highs in the low to mid 70's. Wind out of the N/NNW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday (Father's Day): Partly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph and becoming out of the S in the late afternoon.

Monday (Juneteenth): Partly to mostly sunny with a 20% chance of an afternoon shower with highs in the mid to upper 70's in Nassau and mid 70's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the NE/ENE at around 5 mph in the morning and then out of the ESE/SE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with a 40% chance of some showers with highs in the low to mid 70's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the E at around 10 mph in the morning and then out of the ESE at 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with a 40% chance of rain with highs in the low 70's. Wind out of the NE then ENE at 10 to 20 mph.

- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected smoke density for 8 AM tomorrow

- 3rd image: Future radar for 4 PM tomorrow

- 4th image: 10-day rainfall map from the Model Blend

- 5th image: Euro ensembles for the tropics for the next 10 days

- 6th image: Model Blend temperatures for Long Island