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Active pattern continues with snow and ice mostly north of Long Island and a brief shot of cold:

- The little system moving through this morning is bringing rain to Long Island with some snow for southern New England.

- Another quick shot of rain to the south and snow to the north for later this afternoon into early evening.

- Then the main system for tomorrow afternoon into Thursday with rain on Long Island (possibly briefly mixing with sleet near the beginning away from the south shore) and ice and snow to the north (see snow and ice maps below, which only go through 7 PM Thursday).

- A brief shot of Arctic air with temperatures dropping on Friday with gusty winds with lows in the upper teens on Long Island by early Saturday morning and only getting into the low 30's for highs on Saturday.

- The weak system moving through Saturday night could produce some flurries, but it will really strengthen offshore and become a monster ocean storm, and there is a chance of some enhancement to the precipitation shield over the northeast on Sunday with some snow showers.

- A very strong storm for Monday into Tuesday will then cut west with a secondary strong storm forming near Long Island or southeastern New England on Tuesday. So, while there is still uncertainty, it could begin briefly as snow on Long Island, but as of now, it looks like a mainly rain event for Long Island with the potential for a snowstorm in interior central to northern New England.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Rain ending between 7 AM and 9 AM from west to east and then mostly cloudy with another round of rain from late afternoon into the evening with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the NE at around 10 mph in the morning and then a lull to less than 5 mph before shifting to S at around 10 mph by late afternoon.

Tonight: Showers in the evening and then clearing skies and breezy with lows in the low 30's. Wind out of the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Tomorrow: Increasing clouds in the morning with a chance of showers in the afternoon with possibly some sleet mixed in at the beginning away from the south shore with highs in the low 40's. Wind at 5 to 10 mph from varying directions.

Tomorrow night: Periods of rain with lows in the upper 30's and rising slowly after midnight into the low 40's by morning. Wind generally out of the ENE at around 10 mph.

Thursday: Showers ending by mid morning from west to east and then mostly cloudy with some drizzle possible with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the ENE at around 10 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy and very windy with temperatures falling from the low 40's early in the morning to the mid 30's by late afternoon. Wind out of the NW at 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph.

Saturday: Increasing clouds in the morning and mostly cloudy in the afternoon with highs in the low 30's. Wind at 5 to 10 mph from the N in the morning and SSW in the afternoon.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers in the morning and rain showers in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid. Wind out of the WNW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and NW at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.


- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd and 3rd images: Future radar for 8 AM and 7 PM today from the HRRR model

- 4th and 5th images: Snow and ice maps from the NWS only through 7 PM Thursday

- 6th image: Projected storm locations/strengths for 7 PM next Tuesday from the Euro ensembles

- 7th images: Project temperatures for Long Island from the Euro ensembles









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