After a cold start, it will generally be a mild week as sustained cold holds off another 10 days:
- It's a very cold start early this morning (see 2nd image).
- The details for Long Island are in the forecast below, but the rain for tomorrow will be slow to progress eastward on Long Island. While timing differences remain, the majority of the rain will be tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday morning with some showers possible before and after that time-frame.
- With a complex pattern, storm uncertainty is lower than usual going forward, so watch for changing forecasts for this weekend and next week as the models disagree. For example, the GFS has rain for Long Island Friday through Sunday, the Canadian has rain only for Saturday, and the Euro keeps it dry as the storm is suppressed to our south.
- Sustained colder air looks to arrive around the 16th.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds late with highs in the upper 40's. Wind light and variable in the morning and then out of the S at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight: Becoming mostly cloudy in the evening with lows in the upper 30's and then rising after midnight to the mid to upper 40's by dawn. Wind out of the SSE at 5 mph.
Tomorrow: Widely scattered light showers in the morning becoming a steadier rain slowly from west to east in the afternoon with highs in the upper 50's. Wind out of the SE at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Tomorrow night: Rain with lows in the low to mid 50's. Wind out of the SE at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Wednesday: Rain in the morning with showers continuing at times in the afternoon with highs in the upper 50's. Wind out of the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the low 50's. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.
Friday: Increasing clouds with a 30% chance of showers in the afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the N at 10 to 20 mph.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the N at 10 to 20 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 2nd image: Current temperatures as of 4:00 AM
- 3rd image: 10-day snow map from the NWS Model Blend
- 4th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island from the NWS Model Blend