***All of the maps for both storms and the tropics with the Long Island forecast and the early....
... potential for a Wind Advisory event with the pre-Thanksgiving storm***
- You all know about the mild air coming tomorrow into Saturday before the cold front has temperatures dropping Saturday afternoon on Long Island. - While the exact timing and track of the coastal storm in combination with the approaching cold front is a bit uncertain, it's starting to come into focus. I did include a map from the Euro for 1 PM Saturday to give a general idea, but I will probably post timing videos as we get closer and get into range of the NAM. - I included the NHC map and Euro ensembles map for the tropics below as the chances for Vince to form have been decreasing. - Then attention turns to the bigger (more widespread) pre-Thanksgiving storm. For Long Island it will be rain basically from Tuesday evening into around Wednesday afternoon. The Model Blend is already showing over an inch of rain with the potential for amounts over 1.5 inches. This will likely also be a windy system with the potential for wind gusts over 45 mph (see 8th image for max gusts map in knots from the Euro). - Plenty more posts to come today into tonight!
- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island - 2nd image: Map from the Euro for 1 PM Saturday - 3rd and 4th images: Projected rainfall from the Model Blend through Saturday night and then through next Wednesday night (both storms combined) - 5th to 7th images: Maps from the GFS, Canadian, and Euro for next Wednesday morning/ afternoon - 8th images: Maximum projected wind gusts in knots through next Wednesday night from the Euro - 9th and 10th images: NHC map and Euro ensembles map for the tropics