Brief 3:45 AM update with the NYC forecast (perfect weather for the marathon, pleasant for Election Day, record warmth for Wednesday, and little to no rain for the next 7 days) and the...

...National Hurricane Center at 90% for future Rafael. The general idea is that it could bring tropical storm conditions to Jamaica and it has a chance to be a hurricane for eastern Cuba, but the high pressure ridge to the north should do its job in preventing a landfall along the Gulf coast, and if it did, it would likely be as a tropical storm. The 7-day rainfall map is shown in the last image.