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Cold stretch with northeast snow and then a very cold weekend and possibly dry through Thanksgiving:

- Temperatures in the low 70's are now a fairly distant memory as we enter a chilly/cold stretch. Tonight will be the coldest night so far with some teens showing up in Southern New England and some low to mid 20's in the Pine Barrens area in east-central Suffolk on Long Island (see 2nd image).

- I have included the rain and snow maps for tomorrow into Wednesday, and I may post a future radar later this morning.

- After the rain ends on Wednesday, it's possible that Long Island will have a dry stretch for the next 8 days through Thanksgiving with a very cold weekend coming up with highs possibly only around 40 degrees this coming Saturday. However, I am still watching Sunday night as there is still a slight chance that an offshore storm comes close enough to bring rain/snow to the coast. The ensemble mean precipitation amounts are around 0.25" for eastern Long Island, so I wouldn't rule this out yet. This is what the NWS is saying about it: "...low predictability on potential for southern low to work up the east coast late weekend."


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Sunny with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the NW at 10 to 15 mph, a little lower in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear with some high clouds and cold with lows in the low 30's in Nassau, 30 degrees in western Suffolk, and mid 20's in central to eastern Suffolk with low 30's in far eastern Suffolk. Wind out of the N at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Increasing clouds in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon with rain arriving from west to east between 5 PM and 8 PM with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the NNE then ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow night: Rain arriving in the early evening from west to east and continuing all night and become breezy with lows around 40 degrees. Wind out of the ENE and increasing to 15 to 25 mph after midnight.

Wednesday: Breezy with rain ending between 10 AM and 1 PM from west to east with the sun coming out 2 or 3 hours after the rain ends with highs around 50 degrees. Wind out of the NE then NW /WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the W at 10 to 20 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the WSW at 10 to 20 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny and cold with highs only around 40 degrees. Wind out of the W at 10 to 15 mph.

- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected overnight lows for tonight from the NWS

- 3rd image and 4th images: Snow and precipitation maps through Wednesday evening

- 5th and 6th images: Projected temperatures for Long Island

- 7th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member

- 8th image: Projected storm locations and strengths at 7 PM Sunday from the Euro ensemble members










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