Decent weather continues, but rain looms for the weekend with a heavier rain/wind Sunday night:
Can't rule out a passing shower this afternoon and then there is also a chance of a few showers tomorrow night into early Thursday morning, but for the most part we remain dry until around Friday evening. The first system should bring rain Friday night into Saturday, and then the stronger storm for Sunday evening into Monday morning with heavy rain/wind. The following is from NWS NY covering Long Island and the tri-state area: "A relatively weak shortwave passes through into the start of the weekend, bringing the chance for rain showers Friday night and Saturday. Global guidance differs on the exact placement of the surface low that develops, with implications on how much rain is able to develop over the area. Much of Friday and Saturday at the least appear overcast, with moistening conditions in easterly flow. Meanwhile, a more potent disturbance dives south across the Central US. This system has the potential to be a soaker, with ensemble means signaling several inches of liquid possible this weekend into early next week as surface low pressure attempts to rapidly deepen as it reaches the Eastern Seaboard and the trough becomes negatively tilted. This would allow moderate to heavy rain to fall much of Sunday and Monday. Given inherent uncertainty at this stage, capped PoPs at 70% and winds at 30 kt for this update."
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Mostly sunny in the morning with more clouds in the afternoon with a slight chance of a passing shower with highs in the upper 50's to near near 60, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NW then WNW at around 5 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy with lows in the low 40's with some upper 30's in the Pine Barrens area in Suffolk. Wind generally out of the NW at around 5 mph.
Tomorrow: Mostly sunny in the morning with increasing clouds in the afternoon with a slight chance of a shower late in the day with highs around 60 in Nassau and in the upper 50's to near 60 in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind light & variable in the morning and then out of the SSE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Tomorrow night: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of light widely scattered showers with lows in the mid 40's in Nassau and low 40's in Suffolk. Wind out of the SE at 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday: Slight chance of a morning shower, otherwise partly cloudy with highs in the upper 50's to near 60, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 50's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the E at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday: Showers likely with highs in the mid to upper 50's, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the E at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday: Cloudy with an increasing chance of showers in the afternoon with a heavier rain and wind at night with highs around 60, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the E at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon and 35 mph at night.
- 1st and 2nd images: 10-day precipitation maps from the Model Blend and Euro
- 3rd image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 4th image(video): Euro from 8 PM Friday to 8 PM Monday
- 5th and 6th images: Projected temperatures for Long Island
