My Personal Weatherman™
Gusts up to 55 mph as March comes in with Arctic blast and the big storm for Sunday trends closer!
Wind Advisories and even some High Wind Warnings are in effect for the northeast. For Long Island, it's in effect from 4 PM today to 10 AM tomorrow for gusts up to 55 mph. The peak winds for Long Island should be between around 8 PM and 2 AM. Wind chill temperatures will be close to zero degrees by early tomorrow morning. More details are in the Long Island forecast below.
Temperatures will rebound on Wednesday before colder air filters back in to the northeast at the end of the week and through the weekend. After the rain this morning and scattered snow showers tonight, it will be mainly dry for Long Island and the northeast through at least Saturday.
There has been a noticeable shift west with the potentially big offshore storm on Sunday into Monday from the Euro ensembles. While most of them still keep the snow offshore, some of them now even have a snowstorm for Long Island. While the odds are still low, we went from 1 out of 50 ensemble members showing snow on Long Island in the previous run to now 6 out of the 50 showing snow on Long Island. I will be watching this very closely.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
**A Wind Advisory has been issued from 4 PM today to 10 AM Tuesday for northwest winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts up 55 mph.**
Last Updated: 4:20 AM on Monday, March 1st
Today: Showers ending around late morning to early afternoon from west to east and then some breaks of sun by late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40's, but temperatures will drop fairly quickly in the evening into the 30's. The wind will become out of the WNW in the afternoon with gusts up to 35 by late afternoon.
Tonight: Very cold and windy with partly cloudy skies and a chance of some passing flurries or snow showers between 8 PM and midnight with temperatures dropping into the upper teens to around 20 degrees by morning. Strong wind gusts out of the WNW to NW at up to 55 mph, especially between 8 PM and 2 AM. Wind chill temperatures by Tuesday morning will be mostly between 0 and 5 degrees.
Tomorrow: Very cold and windy with sunny skies with wind gusts up to 45 mph from the NW in the morning with wind chill temperatures in the single digits. The wind will gradually diminish to around 25 to 30 mph from the WNW in the afternoon with highs in the low 30's. Wind chill temperatures will mostly be between 10 and 15 degrees.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the upper 40's.
Thursday Partly cloudy with highs in the low 40's. Becoming breezy in the afternoon.
Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and colder with highs in the mid 30's.
Saturday Partly cloudy with highs in the upper 30's.
- 1st image: Projected wind chill temperatures at 7 AM tomorrow from the HRRR model
- 2nd image: Projected storm locations at 1 AM next Monday from the Euro ensemble members
- 3rd image: Map from the Euro for 1 AM next Monday
- 4th image: Projected 24-hour precipitation from 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM next Monday from the Euro ensemble mean
- 5th and 6th images: Simulated future radar from the HRRR model for today at 2 PM and 9 PM, respectively
- 7th image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 8th image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles
- 9th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the National Weather Service model blend