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***Heavy rain and flash flood potential ramping up as models show some crazy rainfall amounts:

***Heavy rain and flash flood potential ramping up as models show some crazy rainfall amounts (locally 5 to 8 inch potential) from western Long Island into NYC and northeast NJ. Also, uncertainty remains with Philippe/ future Rina***


- With the high-resolution models showing the potential for some very high rainfall amounts, locally over 6 inches, the main question is exactly where the axis of higher totals sets up. While the Euro had /has it farther east, the NAM and HRRR are showing it farther west, more towards Nassau/NYC and northeastern NJ. The Weather Prediction Center has not only shifted their highest rainfall amounts west, but they have also increased their highest amounts to over 3 inches. The Model Blend is now showing around 4 inches in the NYC area. So stay tuned, but the rain will even begin earlier now as showers could begin later this afternoon on Long Island. Pretty amazing that I don't see any Flood Watch issued yet for the NYC area. There is also a chance for a thunderstorm and there will be wind gusts up to 30 mph, so it will be a rainy and breezy period. Also, the rain will likely linger into Saturday, but stay tuned, and I will probably post a future radar video later this morning from the new NAM run. - As for Philippe and future Rina, they are slow-moving and close to each other and it's unsure which one will eventually curve northward and become a hurricane, but as the ensembles below show, it should then stay east of Bermuda. - I should be getting more info today on the app, and hopefully it will be officially re-launched early this evening, and I will post an update when I hear anything. - For now, I have only posted the rainfall maps from the NAM (through 2 PM Saturday), HRRR (only through 2 AM Saturday), Model Blend, and Weather Prediction Center. - More posts to come!









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