Lee is now up to 105 mph maximum sustained winds, but is on its way to a Cat 5:
- My Personal Weatherman™

- Sep 7, 2023
- 1 min read
From the NHC: "The question doesn't appear to be if RI continues, but rather how strong Lee will get, and how quickly will it get there. Many of the models are calling for remarkable rates of intensification, beyond rates normally seen with model forecasts. Both HAFS models forecast Lee to exceed 150 kt within the next 2 days, and even HCCA brings the hurricane above the category 5 threshold. The NHC intensity forecast has been shifted significantly higher, but is actually within the guidance envelope. It should be stressed that internal dynamics (eyewall replacement cycles) will become a factor with the maximum strength of Lee as it becomes a major hurricane. This is almost certain to lead to fluctuations in intensity that are beyond our ability to forecast at these lead times."
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/1500Z 16.4N 50.0W 90 KT 105 MPH 12H 08/0000Z 17.1N 51.7W 115 KT 130 MPH 24H 08/1200Z 18.2N 54.0W 130 KT 150 MPH 36H 09/0000Z 19.2N 56.1W 140 KT 160 MPH 48H 09/1200Z 20.1N 58.1W 140 KT 160 MPH 60H 10/0000Z 20.9N 59.8W 135 KT 155 MPH 72H 10/1200Z 21.5N 61.2W 135 KT 155 MPH 96H 11/1200Z 22.6N 63.7W 125 KT 145 MPH 120H 12/1200Z 23.6N 66.0W 120 KT 140 MPH









Comments