- There was just a major M7.1 earthquake right off the coast of Japan.
- No changes with Debby as it made landfall near Bulls Bay, South Carolina last night. The tornado and flash flood threat for today into tonight is for North Carolina into Virginia. Debby will finally pick up speed and head north inland and merge with a frontal system and bring flooding rain to the interior northeast. The strong cold front will swing east through Long Island and New England late tomorrow night. It will bring strong wind gusts and a period of heavy rain with locally brief torrential downpours. The NAM has a later timing than the HRRR model. I will post more updates today on it. There is a very slight chance of a few brief tornadoes tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow evening as it swings east. The tornado map is shown in the 5th image.
- An amazing stretch of beautiful and sunny weather with low to moderate humidity from this weekend into most of next week with temperatures mainly slightly below average.
- The end of the Euro run has a strong potential Hurricane Ernesto heading due north just off the southeast coast of the United States. The Euro ensembles show it well with obviously a wide range of tracks, but it's a strong signal for a potentially strong hurricane. It could be near Puerto Rico around next Thursday, but probably won't be very strong yet. It looks to potentially intensify as it gets a little closer to the Bahamas and start turning north. Way too early though to really speculate in too much detail, so stay tuned. The National NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center highlighted the system and I have posted the map below.
- Many more updates to come today into tonight!
- 1st image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days
- 2nd image: Map from the Euro for next weekend showing potential Hurricane Ernesto
- 3rd image: My Long Island forecast
- 4th image: Earthquake map
- 5th image: Tornado map for tomorrow into tomorrow night
- 6th and 7th images: National Hurricane Center maps
- 8th and 9th images: Rainfall maps from the Model Blend and NAM
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