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My comments on the brand-new 06Z Euro ensembles ending at 2 AM next Tuesday:

- Generally a little slower/later timing

- Less of the 50 ensemble members showing a hurricane

- A few very weak ones slip into the eastern Gulf

- Most are farther west overall

- Some are strengthening into a hurricane as they head N/NNE at the end of the run

- It likely doesn't become a Tropical Depression until sometime later this weekend

- With late development close to Florida, the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center may issue a forecast cone before then as a Potential Tropical Cyclone.

- More information to come this afternoon



 
 
 

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