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Once we get through the rain, a warm/dry stretch coming, and the tropics are still alive:

- Showers will be ending this morning from west to east on Long Island with clearing skies in the early evening, and then we have a mainly warm and dry stretch into the early to middle part of next week probably.

- Thursday will be the only slightly cooler day in the low 60's, but some of the nights will be very chilly with clear skies and calm conditions leading to radiational cooling.

- Tropical Storm Lisa still should become a minimal hurricane by the time it makes landfall in Belize tomorrow evening.

- The system northeast of Bermuda is Invest 96L and may quickly be named Martin before it merges with another area of low pressure to become a large and powerful non-tropical storm.

- A broad area of low pressure will be near the Bahamas and off the southeast coast of the United States early next week, and it could become a subtropical storm. Most of the ensembles keep it relatively weak, but it still needs to be watched. Regardless of any subtropical or tropical development, it will bring rain to the coast and then probably up the coast for the middle part of next week.

- Even beyond the three systems discussed above, another tropical system is possible later next week near or in the Caribbean Sea.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Showers mainly before 9 AM in Nassau and 11 AM in Suffolk and then cloudy in the afternoon with just a slight chance of a shower with highs in the mid 60's. Wind out of the SW and then W at 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Becoming mostly clear with lows in the low to mid 50's in Nassau and low 50's in Suffolk. Wind out of the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Tomorrow: Sunny with highs in the upper 60's. Wind out of the N at around 10 mph.

Tomorrow night: Clear and nearly calm with lows in the upper 40's in Nassau and mid 40's in Suffolk with some low 40's in the Pine Barrens area of Suffolk.

Thursday: Sunny with highs in the low 60's. Wind out of the NE then ESE at around 5 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60's. Wind light & variable in the morning and then out of the S at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny with highs around 70 degrees in Nassau and in the upper 60's in Suffolk. Wind out of the SW at less than 5 mph in the morning and then out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy with highs around 70 degrees. Wind out of the S at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Monday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low 70's in Nassau and around 70 degrees in Suffolk. Wind out of the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.


- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles

- 3rd image: Overview of the tropics from the NHC

- 4th image: Tropical Storm Lisa

- 5th image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 6th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend









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