Overview of the tropics and Long Island/ northeast weather:

Patty still not imminent with the NHC at 40% and the Euro ensembles less bullish than the GFS ensembles. Also, amazing warmth ahead for Long Island and the northeast followed by a cool weekend with cold nights and then in the 70's again next Wednesday! Not much rain, especially for Long Island, southeastern New England, and areas to the S/SSW of there.

- 1st image: My Long Island forecast

- 2nd image: Euro ensembles

- 3rd image: Model Blend precipitation map for the next 8 days

- 4th image: Long Island temperatures for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles