Rain and a lot of wind with snow showing up, and the detailed Long Island forecast:
- The details for Long Island are in the forecast below, but we have the rain and windy for tomorrow afternoon and especially evening with strong wind gusts and moderate to heavy rain as temperatures could reach 60 degrees in the evening before falling late in the evening.
- The next frontal system for Wednesday afternoon/night looks to bring even more wind with rain, and I wouldn't be surprised to see wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph on Long Island. See the 4th image showing an ensemble mean max gusts of 49 mph (43 knots). Once again, temperatures could reach 60 degrees before the front passes.
- Temperatures then return to more seasonable levels and then possibly below normal at times.
- The Euro ensembles are starting to increasingly look snowier once we get into December and towards around December 10th. Best chances are of course in the higher elevations or northern New England/NY, but some ensembles are even showing snow for Long Island and southern New England, but of course, the chances are fairly low (see images below).
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Sunny with highs in the low to mid 50's. Wind out of the WNW then W at 10 to 20 mph, strongest in the morning.
Tonight: Increasing clouds late with lows mostly around 40 degrees. Wind out of the WSW at around 10 mph.
Tomorrow: Rain starting around Noon to 1 PM from west to east and becoming moderate to heavy late and becoming windy with highs in the upper 50's late in the day/evening. Wind out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph in the morning and then SSW at 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 30 mph late in the afternoon.
Tomorrow night: Rainy and windy in the evening with some moderate to heavy rain and then tapering off to showers and ending between 10 PM and midnight from west to east with clearing skies shortly thereafter. Temperatures near 60 degrees in the evening and then falling after 11 PM with lows in the upper 40's by morning. Wind out of the S in the evening at 20 to 25 mph with gusts over 35 mph and then out of the WSW and then W after midnight at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Monday: Partly cloudy and windy with highs in the low to mid 50's. Wind out of the NW at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 to 30 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds in the afternoon with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out generally light and variable at around 5 mph.
Wednesday: Rain starting by around late morning and becoming windy with highs in the upper 50's. Wind out of the SSW at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph late in the afternoon and over 40 mph in the evening.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy early and then partly cloudy and very windy with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the WNW at 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 40's. Wind out of the WNW then WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 2nd image: 15-day snow map from the Euro ensemble mean
- 3rd image: Projected snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days as a running total from every Euro ensemble member
- 4th image: Max wind gust matrix in knots for Long Island for the next 15 days from every Euro ensemble member
- 5th and 6th images: Projected temperatures for Long Island from the Euro ensembles and NWS Model Blend