I will post maps with the tracks when they come in, but here's a sneak preview of 2 AM on Aug 6th. The ensembles basically don't develop the storm until it gets near the Bahamas, and then it turns north up the coast towards coastal North Carolina. Still a lot of uncertainty! Lots of time to watch it. It's far from set in stone that it will become a tropical storm, let along a hurricane, but some ensemble members make it a pretty strong hurricane, so it's possible.
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