The brand-new 06Z Euro ensembles are not what you want to see if you want snow for the coast:

The 12z runs of the models and ensembles may be more telling, but the 06z run of the Euro ensembles, while it only goes out to 1 AM Thursday, is not what you want to see if you want snow for Long Island and the coast.

Also, the Model Blend snow amounts did trend down from last night. The 2nd image shows the snow through tomorrow, and the 3rd image shows the snow through Christmas Eve.

I will continue to update.