- It's still a close call for the showers that will be just south of Long Island from mid-morning into early afternoon today. The latest HRRR run has them staying just to our south (the 1st image is for 11 AM).
- Showers develop early tomorrow morning with a steadier rain and breezy conditions in the afternoon and early evening with a slight chance of thunder and then the rain ends mostly between 9 PM and 11 PM tomorrow night from west to east.
- There is still uncertainty as to whether or not we get some showers Monday evening/night and then on the potential storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning/afternoon, but overall the chance for a stronger storm are a little lower. I will be updating on it this weekend as it starts to come into focus.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers from mid-morning to early afternoon with a little better chance for the south shore. Highs in the low 50's in Nassau and around 50 degrees in Suffolk. Wind out of the NNW at 10 to 15 mph in the morning and then generally out of the NW/WNW at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers towards morning with lows around 40 degrees in Nassau and in the upper 30's in Suffolk. Wind out of the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Tomorrow: Rainy, breezy, and chilly with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the E at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Tomorrow night: Rainy and breezy with a slight chance of thunder in the evening with showers ending between around 9 PM and 11 PM from west to east and then becoming partly cloudy with lows in the low to mid 40's. Wind out of the E at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening and then WNW/W at 10 to 15 mph after midnight
Sunday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and mild with highs around 60 degrees in Nassau and upper 50's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the W at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Monday: Mostly sunny in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid 50's in Nassau and low 50's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NW then WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday: Increasing clouds with a slight chance of showers in the afternoon with highs around 50 degrees in Nassau and in the upper 40's to near 50 in Suffolk, but cooler for the east end. Wind out of the NE then SE at around 10 mph.
Wednesday: Cloudy with morning rain likely and then partial clearing in the afternoon and breezy with highs in the upper 40's. Wind out of the NNW/NW at 10 to 20 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and a little breezy with highs around 50 degrees in Nassau and in the upper 40's in Suffolk. Wind out of the WNW/W at 10 to 20 mph.
- 1st image: Future radar for 11 AM today from the HRRR model
- 2nd image: Projected precipitation through tomorrow night from the Weather Prediction Center
- 3rd image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 4th and 5th images: Maps for early Wednesday morning from the Euro ensemble members
- 6th to 8th images: 7-day snow maps from the Model Blend and all 50 Euro ensemble members
- 9th and 10th images: Projected temperatures for Long Island
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