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Update on Bret and future Cindy and the not-so-great Long Island forecast:

- Tropical Storm Bret is still expected to become a minimal hurricane, but once it gets closer to and into the Caribbean Sea it will weaken considerably. There are still significant differences in strength and track between the higher-resolution hurricane models and the global models with the global models keeping it weaker and farther south.

- Invest 93L will become Cindy in the next couple of days, but it will curve northwestward well before getting near the Caribbean islands.

- For Long Island, cooler the next few days, especially on Thursday when there will be rain with highs probably only in the upper 60's (see last two images for maps for Thursday at 10 AM and 5 PM).

- The humidity really gets going on Friday, and it will stick around for a while with chances for showers and thunderstorms into next week, but it will be warmer with highs generally in the upper 70's to low 80's.


LONG ISLAND FORECAST:

Today: Mostly cloudy with some filtered sunshine through high clouds with highs in the mid 70's in Nassau and low to mid 70's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the ENE at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the E/ESE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy and cool with lows in the upper 50's in Nassau and mostly mid 50's in Suffolk. Wind out of the E at around 10 mph.

Tomorrow (Summer begins at 10:57 AM): Partly sunny and breezy with highs in the low to mid 70's in Nassau and low 70's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the E at 10 to 20 mph with gusts close to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Tomorrow night: Increasing clouds with a chance of showers after 3 AM with lows in the mid to upper 50's in Nassau and mid 50's in Suffolk. Wind out of the E at 10 to 15 mph.

Thursday: Rainy, breezy, and cool with mostly in the upper 60's, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the ENE/E at 10 to 20 mph.

Friday: Cloudy and humid with occasional showers with highs in the upper 70's in Nassau and mid to upper 70's in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the ES/SE at around 10 mph in the morning and then out of the SE/SSE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and humid with some breaks of sun and widely scattered showers/ thunderstorms at times with highs in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the S at 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy and humid with widely scattered showers/ thunderstorms with highs in the low 80's in Nassau and around 80 degrees in Suffolk, but cooler for the south shore and especially the east end. Wind out of the SW at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and then out of the S at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.


- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: From the National Hurricane Center

- 3rd image: Euro ensembles for the tropics for the next 10 days

- 4th image: 7-day rainfall map from the Weather Prediction Center

- 5th image: Long Island temperatures from the GFS

- 6th and 7th images: Maps from the Euro for Thursday at 10 AM and 5 PM









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