- Montauk could get skimmed with some showers from the outer fringe of the storm tonight into tomorrow morning, but rain is likely in eastern MA with a tough call on amounts with a tight gradient, but overall the rainfall chances and amounts have increased there. I have posted some rainfall maps below, and I will probably post a future radar video later this morning.
- Besides Montauk, Long Island has a slight chance of a passing shower tomorrow late afternoon, but besides that, no rain until possibly Monday as Sunday has trended drier.
- Still nothing to be overly concerned about right now in the tropics. That system that will be headed into the Bay of Campeche this weekend will have a slight chance of tropical development. While there is a chance for a hurricane later this month in the Atlantic, nothing is imminent or overly impressive on the Euro ensembles (see last image).
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
Today: Mostly sunny in the morning and partly sunny in the afternoon with more clouds in eastern Suffolk with highs around 80 degrees, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the ENE at 10 to 20 mph.
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy with a slight chance of some showers in extreme eastern Suffolk with lows in the low to mid 60's. Wind out of the ENE at 10 to 20 mph.
Tomorrow: Partly sunny and breezy with a chance of some morning showers in eastern Suffolk, and then a slight chance of a passing late afternoon shower with highs in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind generally out of the NNE at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Tomorrow night: Very slight chance of an evening shower, otherwise partly cloudy with lows in the low to mid 60's. Wind out of the N early at 10 to 20 mph and then out of the W at 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind mostly out of the WNW at around 10 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the NW at 5 mph in the morning and then SSW at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday: Partly sunny with highs in the mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind light and variable in the morning and then out of the SSE at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind mainly out of the ESE at around 10 mph.
Monday: Mostly cloudy and humid with a 50% chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm with highs in the low 80's, but a little cooler for the south shore and east end. Wind out of the SSE at 10 to 15 mph.
- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 2nd image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend
- 3rd to 5th images: Rainfall maps from the HRRR, WPC, and Euro, respectively
- 6th image: Storm tracks from the Euro ensembles for the next 15 days
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