- The details for Long Island are in the forecast below, but as I posted last night it will be a stormy evening/night ahead with heavy rain with a possible thunderstorm and wind gusts as high as 50 mph with the rain basically starting early this afternoon. There is also a coastal flood warning for southern Nassau for tonight from 9 PM to 2 AM.
- The snow amounts in the northeast have decreased, and I have posted the snow maps from the NWS and HRRR.
- It will be fair weather this weekend with some weak systems passing through the northeast into early next week with a chance of some scattered showers with light snow to the north.
- Then things start to get interesting with a system around mid-week with some snow well to the north, but then the colder air arrives behind the storm late next week, so next weekend will likely be very cold with highs possibly only in the upper 20's on Long Island with lows in the teens.
- Then we will watch for the slight chance for a potential storm around the 6th, but some ensembles even show a chance for snow next Friday, the 3rd, so there is a lot of uncertainty, and it will soon become the main focus.
LONG ISLAND FORECAST:
***Wind Advisory for all of Long Island from 4 PM today to 4 AM tomorrow for wind gusts up to 50 mph from the southeast then south.***
Today: A slight chance of mid to late morning flurries, otherwise, rain developing around Noon to 1 PM from west to east with afternoon highs near 40 degrees and becoming windy. Wind nearly calm early in the morning and then out of the E and increasing in the afternoon to 10 to 20 mph with gusts near 30 mph by late afternoon.
Tonight: Stormy with rain, heavy at times, with a chance of a thunderstorm and very windy with temperatures rising into the low 50's. Wind out of the ESE then SSE then S at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph possible and then becoming out of the WSW at 15 to 25 mph by morning. Total rainfall is expected to be around 1.5 to 1.75 inches.
Tomorrow: Early morning showers ending in eastern Suffolk and then partly sunny and very windy with a lot of clouds around with temperatures mainly in the mid 40's in the morning and low 40's in the afternoon. Wind out of the WSW then W at 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to near 40 mph.
Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy with a decreasing wind with lows in the upper 20's. Wind from the W at 15 to 25 mph in the evening and 10 to 15 mph after midnight.
Friday: Mostly sunny with highs just above 40 degrees. Wind out of the W at 10 to 20 mph.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and breezy in the afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Wind out of the WSW then W at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon with highs in the upper 40's. Wind light and variable in the morning and then out of the SW at 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Monday: Slight chance of early morning showers and then partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 40's. Wind out of the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday: Partly sunny in the morning and mostly cloudy in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid 40's. Wind out of the N at 5 to 10 mph.
- 1st image: my 5 day forecast for Long Island
- 2nd and 3rd images: Projected snowfall for the storm from the NWS and HRRR
- 4th image: Projected temperatures with ranges for Long Island for the next 15 days from the Euro ensembles
- 5th and 6th images: Projected precipitation and max wind gusts for the storm today into early tomorrow
- 7th image: Projected 24-hour snowfall for Long Island for the next 15 days from every Euro ensemble member
- 8th image: Projected temperatures for Long Island for the next 10 days from the NWS Model Blend
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