Update on the thunderstorms, a nice weekend overall, warmer weather, and quiet tropics:

- Another nice day today overall for Long Island, although it will become breezy. The humidity increases tonight and any showers and thunderstorms tomorrow into tomorrow night look very scattered on the models (the 3rd image is for 3 PM tomorrow). The HRRR has better coverage than the NAM later in the evening with the cold front.

- The weekend looks good overall with moderate humidity and plenty of sun.

- The next system brings some showers and thunderstorms from around Monday afternoon into early Tuesday morning with warmer weather for Tuesday to Thursday with highs mostly in the mid to upper 80's.

- The tropics remain quiet, and the overnight Euro ensembles are less impressive for the potential mid-month system, but it's still something to keep an eye on.

- 1st image: My 5 day forecast for Long Island

- 2nd image: Severe thunderstorm potential for tomorrow into tomorrow night

- 3rd image: Future radar for 3 PM tomorrow from the NAM

- 4th image: Euro ensembles for the next 15 days

- 5th image: Model Blend temperatures for Long Island