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110 mph and 960 mb! On the cusp of Cat 3! Dangerous landfall coming for Cuba. As I have been posting about, they continue to gradually adjust their track southward, and...
... they state... "additional southward adjustments may be needed in subsequent forecasts." Euro ensembles were all over this!
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 6, 20241 min read
***Rafael up to 90 mph winds and could become a major (Cat 3) hurricane by landfall in Cuba. Track shifted southwest in Gulf, but NHC adjusting track gradually. Still a chance for Sara and possibly...
... Tony to form. WARM in the northeast today with fire danger weather. Chilly Saturday and showers Sunday night into Monday morning....
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 6, 20241 min read
Update on Rafael and Long Island weather:
***Hurricane Warning for the Cayman Islands and western Cuba where Rafael will peak with gusts over 100 mph. Weakening in the Gulf with...
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 5, 20242 min read
Update on tropics with future Hurricane Rafael and also on the Long Island forecast:
***Update on the Long Island forecast with the cold start this morning and the warm Wednesday ahead and eventual rain, and also the...
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 4, 20242 min read
Brief 3:45 AM update with the NYC forecast (perfect weather for the marathon, pleasant for Election Day, record warmth for Wednesday, and little to no rain for the next 7 days) and the...
...National Hurricane Center at 90% for future Rafael. The general idea is that it could bring tropical storm conditions to Jamaica and...
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 3, 20241 min read
Brief 3:45 AM post: NHC still at 80% and you can see the tracks from the Euro ensembles (2nd image) and GFS ensembles (3rd image) for the next 10 days, and I like the Euro tracks better. Cold...
...tonight (4th image) with a Frost Advisory for Suffolk on Long Island, and clocks go back one hour at 2 AM. Warm again for Wednesday...
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 2, 20241 min read
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 1, 20240 min read
***Welcome to November! Increasing chance of Patty. Close to 80 degrees on Long Island this afternoon with a Red Flag Warning and then a cool weekend and warm again mid next week.***
- The National Hurricane Center is still at 60% for the potential system to develop in the Caribbean within the next 7 days, but the Euro...
My Personal Weatherman™
Nov 1, 20241 min read
***Welcome to the very warm Halloween! Slowly increasing chance of Patty (NHC at 50% now). Cool/chilly weekend in the northeast, another warm front early next week with a few showers leads to...
... mid-week warmth, and still not a lot of rain overall for Long Island/southeastern New England.*** - 1st image: My Long Island...
My Personal Weatherman™
Oct 31, 20241 min read
Overview of the tropics and Long Island/ northeast weather:
Patty still not imminent with the NHC at 40% and the Euro ensembles less bullish than the GFS ensembles. Also, amazing warmth ahead for...
My Personal Weatherman™
Oct 30, 20241 min read
Still waiting on Patty with it being slow to form and still only a moderate chance overall, and the Long Island forecast with a few warm days ahead, a little rain, a cool weekend, and more warm...
... weather for the middle of next week! - The NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center is still at a 40% chance of tropical development in the...
My Personal Weatherman™
Oct 29, 20241 min read
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